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College football · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State

Upcoming

Model value

Texas Tech
39%
Final estimate
40%Market implied
Oklahoma StateModel lean
61%
Final estimate
60%Market implied

The pick

Live odds-152FanDuelBest of books. A typical single book: -165

Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.

Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

ModelNow: 61%
MarketNow: 60%

Model lean: Oklahoma State (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is +1.1%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

SavedTexas Tech best oddsOklahoma State best oddsModel (Oklahoma State)Market (Oklahoma State)
Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+110-12655%54%
Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET+120-13056%55%
Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET+150-15561%59%
Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+150-16261%60%
Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET+148-16062%60%
Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET+148-16062%60%
Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+148-16062%60%
Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET+148-16062%60%
Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET+148-15961%60%
Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+144-15261%60%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: Oklahoma State 1520 vs Texas Tech 1679 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: Oklahoma State +16.5, Texas Tech +7.0.
  • Model alone: Oklahoma State 48% / Texas Tech 52%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Oklahoma State 61% / Texas Tech 39%. Market (vig removed): Oklahoma State 60% / Texas Tech 40%.
  • Spread: Oklahoma State -3.25 · Total 73.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • Big 12 Sets Oklahoma State-Texas Tech Game Time, TV Designation for Week 11
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.