Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Arizona (Underdog). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at +118 (BetRivers), model 45%, market 45%.
| Saved | Utah best odds | Arizona best odds | Model (Arizona) | Market (Arizona) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -130 | +110 | 46% | 46% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -137 | +120 | 45% | 44% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -126 | +112 | 46% | 46% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -126 | +110 | 46% | 46% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -125 | +110 | 46% | 46% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -133 | +122 | 44% | 44% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -133 | +125 | 44% | 44% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -133 | +128 | 44% | 44% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -133 | +118 | 45% | 45% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -133 | +118 | 45% | 45% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
No. 22 Arizona Clashes with No. 2 Utah in Tucson · University of Arizona Athletics, Nov 10, 2026
How to Watch Utah Football at Arizona: Kickoff Time, TV and Radio · KSL Sports, Nov 8, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Arizona 1640 vs Utah 1751 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Arizona +12.5, Utah +10.8.
- Model alone: Arizona 44% / Utah 56%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Arizona 45% / Utah 55%. Market (vig removed): Arizona 45% / Utah 55%.
- Spread: Arizona +2.5 · Total 54.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Utah vs Arizona Picks, Predictions, Odds for Big 12 Football Game
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.