Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: South Carolina (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -2.5%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -320 (Bovada), model 74%, market 74%.
| Saved | South Carolina best odds | Arkansas best odds | Model (Arkansas) | Market (Arkansas) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -275 | +260 | 27% | 28% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -300 | +265 | 26% | 27% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -285 | +265 | 27% | 27% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -285 | +265 | 27% | 28% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -295 | +265 | 27% | 27% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -295 | +260 | 27% | 27% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -295 | +255 | 27% | 28% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -295 | +255 | 27% | 28% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -320 | +275 | 26% | 26% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -320 | +267 | 26% | 26% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Betting Line, First Look at Arkansas vs. South Carolina: Final SEC Road Game for USC · The State, Nov 9, 2026
South Carolina vs Arkansas Predictions, Will LaNorris Sellers Play, Win 5Th Straight? · Yahoo Sports, Nov 13, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Arkansas 1420 vs South Carolina 1598 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Arkansas -6.0, South Carolina +11.8.
- Model alone: Arkansas 30% / South Carolina 70%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Arkansas 26% / South Carolina 74%. Market (vig removed): Arkansas 26% / South Carolina 74%.
- Spread: Arkansas +7.75 · Total 51.75 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- South Carolina at Arkansas: Will the Gamecocks Keep Their College Football Playoff Hopes Alive?
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.