Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Georgia (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.4%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -700 (BetMGM), model 86%, market 85%.
| Saved | Missouri best odds | Georgia best odds | Model (Georgia) | Market (Georgia) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +490 | -650 | 85% | 83% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +490 | -650 | 85% | 83% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +550 | -650 | 86% | 84% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +530 | -650 | 85% | 84% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +550 | -690 | 86% | 84% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +550 | -680 | 86% | 84% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +550 | -680 | 86% | 84% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +550 | -680 | 86% | 84% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | +575 | -735 | 86% | 85% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +540 | -700 | 86% | 85% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Football Returns Home to Host Missouri on Saturday · University of Georgia Athletics, Nov 9, 2026
ESPN Predicts Winner of Georgia vs. Missouri Football · Yahoo Sports, Nov 12, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Georgia 1781 vs Missouri 1601 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Georgia +13.5, Missouri +0.8.
- Model alone: Georgia 90% / Missouri 10%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Georgia 86% / Missouri 14%. Market (vig removed): Georgia 85% / Missouri 15%.
- Spread: Georgia -16.5 · Total 47.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Missouri vs Georgia Picks, Predictions, Odds for SEC Football Game
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.