Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Kentucky (Lean). At the locked price the estimated value is +0.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -152 (FanDuel), model 61%, market 60%.
| Saved | Florida best odds | Kentucky best odds | Model (Kentucky) | Market (Kentucky) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +120 | -130 | 56% | 55% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +120 | -130 | 57% | 56% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +135 | -155 | 60% | 59% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +138 | -142 | 59% | 58% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +150 | -162 | 61% | 60% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +155 | -160 | 62% | 61% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +155 | -162 | 62% | 61% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +155 | -160 | 62% | 61% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | +143 | -152 | 61% | 60% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +143 | -152 | 61% | 60% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Florida vs Kentucky Picks, Predictions, Odds for SEC Football Game · azcentral.com and The Arizona Republic, Nov 10, 2026
Where to Watch, How to Follow No. 13 Kentucky’s Football Game vs. Florida · Lexington Herald Leader, Nov 11, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Kentucky 1566 vs Florida 1482 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Kentucky -0.5, Florida -12.8.
- Model alone: Kentucky 73% / Florida 27%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Kentucky 61% / Florida 39%. Market (vig removed): Kentucky 60% / Florida 40%.
- Spread: Kentucky -3.5 · Total 52.75 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Kentucky vs. Florida Game Glance, Opening Odds, and an Early Prediction
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.