Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Oklahoma (Toss-up). At the locked price the estimated value is -0.3%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -106 (MyBookie.ag), model 51%, market 51%.
| Saved | Ole Miss best odds | Oklahoma best odds | Model (Oklahoma) | Market (Oklahoma) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -130 | +112 | 46% | 46% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -130 | +112 | 46% | 46% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -120 | +108 | 47% | 47% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -120 | +108 | 48% | 47% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -120 | +110 | 47% | 47% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -112 | +104 | 49% | 49% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -112 | -104 | 50% | 49% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -110 | -104 | 50% | 49% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -103 | -106 | 51% | 50% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -103 | -106 | 51% | 51% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
5 Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Predictions with Trinidad Chambliss, Rebels' CFP Chances on Line · Yahoo Sports, Nov 12, 2026
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma Prediction, Odds and Key Players to Watch for College Football Week 11 · Sports Illustrated, Nov 10, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Oklahoma 1579 vs Ole Miss 1657 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Oklahoma -0.2, Ole Miss +4.0.
- Model alone: Oklahoma 41% / Ole Miss 59%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Oklahoma 51% / Ole Miss 49%. Market (vig removed): Oklahoma 51% / Ole Miss 49%.
- Spread: Oklahoma -1.25 · Total 49.25 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Final Score Predictions for Ole Miss at Oklahoma: Rebels Face a Must-win Game Against a New-look Offense in Norman
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.