Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Texas A&M (Underdog). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.1%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at +120 (FanDuel), model 45%, market 45%.
| Saved | Tennessee best odds | Texas A&M best odds | Model (Texas A&M) | Market (Texas A&M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -142 | +130 | 43% | 43% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -150 | +130 | 42% | 42% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -134 | +123 | 45% | 45% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -134 | +123 | 45% | 45% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -135 | +123 | 45% | 44% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -135 | +120 | 45% | 45% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -135 | +120 | 45% | 45% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -135 | +120 | 45% | 45% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -134 | +116 | 45% | 45% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -134 | +120 | 45% | 45% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Updated Injury Report for Tennessee Football vs Texas A&M · Sports Illustrated, Nov 13, 2026
ESPN FPI Predicts Texas A&M vs. No. 13 Tennessee in Week 11 · Yahoo Sports, Nov 9, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Texas A&M 1526 vs Tennessee 1664 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Texas A&M -3.2, Tennessee +12.0.
- Model alone: Texas A&M 36% / Tennessee 64%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Texas A&M 45% / Tennessee 55%. Market (vig removed): Texas A&M 45% / Tennessee 55%.
- Spread: Texas A&M +2.5 · Total 43.75 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Final Score Predictions: Can the Vols Keep Their Playoff Hopes Alive in a Tough Environment?
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.