Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Alabama (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -2.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -900 (BetMGM), model 88%, market 87%.
| Saved | Alabama best odds | Vanderbilt best odds | Model (Vanderbilt) | Market (Vanderbilt) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -1250 | +800 | 10% | 11% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -1250 | +800 | 10% | 11% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -1100 | +850 | 10% | 11% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -1000 | +850 | 11% | 12% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -1000 | +750 | 12% | 13% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -700 | +613 | 14% | 14% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -700 | +613 | 14% | 15% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -720 | +613 | 13% | 14% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -900 | +660 | 12% | 13% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -900 | +660 | 12% | 13% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Vanderbilt Football vs Alabama Injury Report Ahead of SEC Game · Yahoo Sports, Nov 12, 2026
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds and Key Players to Watch for College Football Week 11 · Sports Illustrated, Nov 10, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Vanderbilt 1492 vs Alabama 1718 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Vanderbilt -15.0, Alabama +2.5.
- Model alone: Vanderbilt 14% / Alabama 86%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Vanderbilt 12% / Alabama 88%. Market (vig removed): Vanderbilt 13% / Alabama 87%.
- Spread: Vanderbilt +17.25 · Total 50.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- How to Watch No. 7 Alabama vs. Vanderbilt: TV Channel and Streaming Options for November 14
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.