Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: NC State (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -0.8%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | California best odds | NC State best odds | Model (NC State) | Market (NC State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +255 | -300 | 74% | 73% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +255 | -300 | 74% | 73% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +255 | -300 | 74% | 73% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +255 | -300 | 74% | 73% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +255 | -300 | 74% | 73% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +255 | -300 | 74% | 73% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
NC State vs. Stanford Prediction, Odds: Week 8 College Football Friday Picks by Proven Model · CBS Sports, Oct 24, 2026
Another Early Start for Cal's October 31 Game at NC State · Yahoo Sports, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: NC State 1480 vs California 1391 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: NC State -3.5, California -19.0.
- Model estimate: NC State 74% / California 26%. Market (vig removed): NC State 73% / California 27%.
- Spread: NC State -8.5 · Total 57.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Cal V. NC State College Football 2026 Kick-Off Time Announced
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.