Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: SMU (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -2.7%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | SMU best odds | Syracuse best odds | Model (Syracuse) | Market (Syracuse) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | -340 | +295 | 25% | 25% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | -340 | +295 | 25% | 25% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | -340 | +295 | 24% | 25% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | -340 | +295 | 24% | 25% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | -340 | +295 | 24% | 25% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -350 | +295 | 24% | 25% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Syracuse Football: What’s College Football Saying About the Orange Heading Into Week 8? · Yahoo Sports, Oct 20, 2026
Syracuse Back on the Road to Clash with North Carolina Saturday · Syracuse University Athletics, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Syracuse 1382 vs SMU 1641 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Syracuse -2.2, SMU +17.0.
- Model estimate: Syracuse 24% / SMU 76%. Market (vig removed): Syracuse 25% / SMU 75%.
- Spread: Syracuse +8.5 · Total 58.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Syracuse Football: Orange Open as Underdogs Hosting Ranked SMU
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.