Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Duke (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is +0.6%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Boston College best odds | Duke best odds | Model (Duke) | Market (Duke) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +255 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +255 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +255 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +255 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +255 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +255 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Boston College vs. Duke · ESPN, Oct 19, 2026
Boston College Visits Duke in ACC Matchup · ABC11 News, Oct 25, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Duke 1591 vs Boston College 1469 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Duke +6.0, Boston College +3.0.
- Model estimate: Duke 74% / Boston College 26%. Market (vig removed): Duke 72% / Boston College 28%.
- Spread: Duke -7.5 · Total 49.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- October 31, 2026: Duke vs Boston College: Fourth Quarter College Football Prediction Market
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.