Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Miami (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -2.1%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Miami best odds | North Carolina best odds | Model (North Carolina) | Market (North Carolina) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | -700 | +570 | 15% | 15% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | -700 | +570 | 15% | 15% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | -700 | +570 | 14% | 15% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | -700 | +570 | 14% | 15% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | -700 | +570 | 14% | 15% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -700 | +580 | 14% | 15% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Miami Exploring Football Independence, How Will It Affect College Football Landscape · AL.com, Oct 23, 2026
Miami Hurricanes Open as Big Favorites Over North Carolina Tar Heels in Week 9 · State of The U, Oct 25, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: North Carolina 1485 vs Miami 1763 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: North Carolina -1.0, Miami +28.5.
- Model estimate: North Carolina 14% / Miami 86%. Market (vig removed): North Carolina 15% / Miami 85%.
- Spread: North Carolina +14.5 · Total 52.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- No. 1 Miami's Date and Time Set for Trap Game Against Bill Belichick's North Carolina
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.