Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Louisville (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -0.9%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Stanford best odds | Louisville best odds | Model (Louisville) | Market (Louisville) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +1100 | -1408 | 92% | 91% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +1100 | -1408 | 92% | 91% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +1100 | -1408 | 93% | 91% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +1100 | -1408 | 93% | 91% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +1100 | -1408 | 93% | 91% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +1100 | -1408 | 93% | 91% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Kickoff Time, TV Designation Announced for Louisville vs. Stanford · WHAS11, Oct 19, 2026
Louisville vs Stanford Kickoff Time, TV Designation Announced · Sports Illustrated, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Louisville 1592 vs Stanford 1433 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Louisville +6.5, Stanford -23.8.
- Model estimate: Louisville 93% / Stanford 7%. Market (vig removed): Louisville 91% / Stanford 9%.
- Spread: Louisville -22.5 · Total 61.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- October 31, 2026: Louisville vs Stanford: Second Half Prediction Market
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.