Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Wake Forest (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -1.2%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Virginia best odds | Wake Forest best odds | Model (Wake Forest) | Market (Wake Forest) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +475 | -590 | 85% | 83% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +475 | -590 | 85% | 83% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +475 | -590 | 85% | 83% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +475 | -590 | 85% | 83% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +475 | -590 | 85% | 83% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +475 | -590 | 85% | 83% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Virginia Football Opens as Big Underdog Against No. 17 Wake Forest · Sports Illustrated, Oct 25, 2026
Wake Forest Kickoff Time and Schedule Announced Against Virginia · Yahoo Sports, Oct 20, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Wake Forest 1630 vs Virginia 1500 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Wake Forest +28.8, Virginia -10.2.
- Model estimate: Wake Forest 85% / Virginia 15%. Market (vig removed): Wake Forest 83% / Virginia 17%.
- Spread: Wake Forest -14 · Total 49.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Duke at Virginia Prediction: Can the Cavaliers Get Revenge?
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.