Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: NC State (Underdog). At the current price the estimated value is -3.9%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Duke best odds | NC State best odds | Model (NC State) | Market (NC State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -176 | +146 | 39% | 39% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
November 7, 2026: NC State vs Duke: Third Quarter College Football Prediction Market · Robinhood, Oct 28, 2026
North Carolina College Football Games Today: UNC-Miami, Wake-Virginia, NC State-Cal Headline Oct. 31 Games · NC Football News, Oct 31, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: NC State 1499 vs Duke 1611 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: NC State -0.8, Duke +10.2.
- Model alone: NC State 49% / Duke 51%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): NC State 39% / Duke 61%. Market (vig removed): NC State 39% / Duke 61%.
- What Manny Diaz Said After Duke Football's Dominant Win Over BC | Video
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.