Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Notre Dame (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is +0.1%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Miami best odds | Notre Dame best odds | Model (Notre Dame) | Market (Notre Dame) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +155 | -170 | 63% | 62% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
ESPN College GameDay Headed to Miami vs Notre Dame. Buy Game Tickets · Yahoo Sports, Oct 31, 2026
Monitoring the Weather for Notre Dame VS Miami · One Foot Down, Oct 28, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Notre Dame 1740 vs Miami 1769 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Notre Dame +20.0, Miami +17.0.
- Model alone: Notre Dame 60% / Miami 40%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Notre Dame 63% / Miami 37%. Market (vig removed): Notre Dame 62% / Miami 38%.
- Spread: Notre Dame -3.5 · Total 55.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- No. 1 Miami Rallies to Remain Unbeaten, Looks Ahead to No. 5 Notre Dame
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.