Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: North Carolina (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -3.7%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | North Carolina best odds | UConn best odds | Model (UConn) | Market (UConn) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -265 | +215 | 30% | 30% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
College Football Week 9: How to Watch This Saturday's NCAA Football Games · Yahoo Sports, Oct 29, 2026
November 7, 2026: UConn vs North Carolina: Third Quarter Prediction Market · Robinhood, Oct 28, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: UConn 1497 vs North Carolina 1479 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: UConn +5.8, North Carolina +1.0.
- Model alone: UConn 60% / North Carolina 40%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): UConn 30% / North Carolina 70%. Market (vig removed): UConn 30% / North Carolina 70%.
- 2027 NCAA Tournament Bracket Watch: Duke, Illinois, Florida and UConn Start on Top Line
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.