Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Notre Dame (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -2.2%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -5000 (DraftKings), model 96%, market 95%.
| Saved | Boston College best odds | Notre Dame best odds | Model (Notre Dame) | Market (Notre Dame) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +3000 | -8000 | 97% | 96% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +3000 | -8000 | 97% | 96% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +2500 | -5000 | 96% | 96% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +2500 | -5000 | 96% | 96% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +2200 | -5000 | 96% | 95% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +2200 | -5000 | 96% | 95% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +2200 | -5000 | 96% | 95% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +2200 | -5000 | 96% | 95% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | +2200 | -5000 | 96% | 95% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +2200 | -5000 | 96% | 95% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Notre Dame Football | Post-Practice Media (11.10.26) — Boston College Week · Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Nov 11, 2026
Week 11 Media: BC at Notre Dame · Boston College Athletics, Nov 10, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Notre Dame 1761 vs Boston College 1421 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Notre Dame +19.0, Boston College -6.0.
- Model alone: Notre Dame 95% / Boston College 5%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Notre Dame 96% / Boston College 4%. Market (vig removed): Notre Dame 95% / Boston College 5%.
- Spread: Notre Dame -29.25 · Total 52.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Hot and Cold Takes for Notre Dame VS BYU
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.