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College football · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Stanford at Virginia Tech

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Model value

Stanford
14%
Final estimate
16%Market implied
Virginia TechModel lean
86%
Final estimate
84%Market implied

The pick

Pick locked at-675BovadaThis price grades the pickBest of books. A typical single book: -690
Live odds-675BovadaSame as lockedBest of books. A typical single book: -690

Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

ModelNow: 86% · At lock: 86%
MarketNow: 84% · At lock: 84%

Model lean: Virginia Tech (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.

Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

  • Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -675 (Bovada), model 86%, market 84%.
SavedStanford best oddsVirginia Tech best oddsModel (Virginia Tech)Market (Virginia Tech)
Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+570-80087%86%
Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET+570-82087%86%
Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET+550-67586%84%
Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+525-70086%84%
Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET+525-64985%84%
Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET+525-67686%84%
Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+550-67686%84%
Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET+550-67686%84%
Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET+550-67086%84%
Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+540-67586%84%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: Virginia Tech 1507 vs Stanford 1418 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Rest: Stanford has 6 more days of rest.
  • Last 4 games, average margin: Virginia Tech -3.5, Stanford -32.5.
  • Model alone: Virginia Tech 82% / Stanford 18%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Virginia Tech 86% / Stanford 14%. Market (vig removed): Virginia Tech 84% / Stanford 16%.
  • Spread: Virginia Tech -15.25 · Total 57.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • Three Biggest Questions for Virginia Tech Football vs. Stanford
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.