Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: NC State (Underdog). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.0%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at +130 (LowVig.ag), model 43%, market 43%.
| Saved | Syracuse best odds | NC State best odds | Model (NC State) | Market (NC State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -122 | +102 | 48% | 47% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -118 | +104 | 48% | 48% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -142 | +125 | 43% | 43% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -132 | +120 | 45% | 44% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -130 | +120 | 45% | 45% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -130 | +120 | 45% | 45% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -130 | +122 | 45% | 44% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -130 | +122 | 45% | 44% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -141 | +130 | 43% | 43% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -141 | +130 | 43% | 43% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
5 Things to Know: 'Cuse at NC State · Syracuse University Athletics, Nov 11, 2026
Syracuse at NC State: TV/streaming, Time, Odds, History & More · Yahoo Sports, Nov 11, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: NC State 1465 vs Syracuse 1393 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: NC State -11.0, Syracuse -2.2.
- Model alone: NC State 61% / Syracuse 39%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): NC State 43% / Syracuse 57%. Market (vig removed): NC State 43% / Syracuse 57%.
- Spread: NC State +3 · Total 53.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- A Day of Change in College Football, as Fran Brown Is Focused on the Next Game at N.C. State
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.