Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Indiana (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -1.3%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Minnesota best odds | Indiana best odds | Model (Indiana) | Market (Indiana) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +1000 | -1200 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +1000 | -1200 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +1000 | -1200 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +1000 | -1200 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +1000 | -1200 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +1000 | -1200 | 91% | 90% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
ESPN College GameDay Is Coming to Bloomington for IU Football vs. Minnesota · The Daily Hoosier, Oct 25, 2026
Minnesota Set for 2:30 P.m. Kickoff Against Indiana · The Daily Gopher, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Indiana 1771 vs Minnesota 1522 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Indiana +9.5, Minnesota -4.0.
- Model estimate: Indiana 91% / Minnesota 9%. Market (vig removed): Indiana 90% / Minnesota 10%.
- Spread: Indiana -19.5 · Total 42.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- College GameDay Heads to Bloomington for Indiana Football Game Against Minnesota
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.