Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Iowa (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is +0.6%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Wisconsin best odds | Iowa best odds | Model (Iowa) | Market (Iowa) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +143 | -154 | 61% | 60% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +143 | -154 | 61% | 60% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +143 | -154 | 61% | 60% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +143 | -154 | 61% | 60% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +143 | -154 | 61% | 60% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +146 | -154 | 61% | 60% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Watch Wisconsin vs Iowa Live: Streaming, TV Channel & Start Time - Oct 31, 2026 | CFB Week 9 · FOX One, Oct 21, 2026
Wisconsin Takes on No. 16 USC Under the Lights at Camp Randall · Wisconsin Badgers, Oct 22, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Iowa 1624 vs Wisconsin 1560 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Iowa -0.5, Wisconsin +9.8.
- Model estimate: Iowa 61% / Wisconsin 39%. Market (vig removed): Iowa 60% / Wisconsin 40%.
- Spread: Iowa -3 · Total 36.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Iowa Football vs. Wisconsin Kickoff Time, TV Channel Announced
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.