Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Maryland (Underdog). At the current price the estimated value is -2.1%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Illinois best odds | Maryland best odds | Model (Maryland) | Market (Maryland) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | -132 | +115 | 45% | 45% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | -132 | +115 | 45% | 45% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | -132 | +115 | 45% | 45% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | -132 | +115 | 45% | 45% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | -132 | +115 | 45% | 45% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -132 | +115 | 46% | 45% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Maryland Football’s Halloween Game Against Illinois Set for Noon Kickoff on FS1 · University of Maryland Athletics, Oct 20, 2026
Watch Illinois vs Maryland Live: Streaming, TV Channel & Start Time - Oct 31, 2026 | CFB Week 9 · FOX One, Oct 21, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Maryland 1360 vs Illinois 1534 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Maryland -28.0, Illinois -4.5.
- Model estimate: Maryland 46% / Illinois 54%. Market (vig removed): Maryland 45% / Illinois 55%.
- Spread: Maryland +2.5 · Total 52.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Illinois Scores 21-Unanswered Points to Defeat Oregon, 21-10
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.