Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Oregon (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is +1.5%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Northwestern best odds | Oregon best odds | Model (Oregon) | Market (Oregon) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +150 | -154 | 62% | 60% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +150 | -154 | 62% | 60% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +150 | -154 | 62% | 60% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +150 | -154 | 61% | 60% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +150 | -154 | 61% | 60% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +150 | -154 | 62% | 60% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Oregon vs. Northwestern Schedule Announcement Delivers Kickoff Update · Sports Illustrated, Oct 19, 2026
How to Watch Rutgers vs Northwestern: Live Stream College Football, TV Channel · Yahoo Sports, Oct 24, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Oregon 1632 vs Northwestern 1595 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Oregon +1.0, Northwestern +20.8.
- Model estimate: Oregon 62% / Northwestern 38%. Market (vig removed): Oregon 60% / Northwestern 40%.
- Spread: Oregon -3.5 · Total 49.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Oregon Hosts No. 20 Northwestern in Big Ten Action
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.