Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Penn State (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -1.0%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Purdue best odds | Penn State best odds | Model (Penn State) | Market (Penn State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +250 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +250 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +250 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +250 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +250 | -275 | 74% | 72% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +255 | -300 | 74% | 73% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Watch Purdue vs Penn State Live: Streaming, TV Channel & Start Time - Oct 31, 2026 | CFB Week 9 · FOX One, Oct 21, 2026
Penn State Football Slated for 4:15 P.m. Kick Against Purdue · gopsusports.com, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Penn State 1545 vs Purdue 1419 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Penn State -9.0, Purdue -4.0.
- Model estimate: Penn State 74% / Purdue 26%. Market (vig removed): Penn State 73% / Purdue 27%.
- Spread: Penn State -7.5 · Total 53.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Kickoff Time, TV Network Announced for Penn State vs. Purdue
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.