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College football · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Michigan at Rutgers

Upcoming

Model value

MichiganModel pick
84%
Model estimate
83%Market implied
Rutgers
16%
Model estimate
17%Market implied

The pick

Live odds-625BetMGM

Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.

Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

ModelNow: 84%
MarketNow: 83%

Model pick: Michigan (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -2.5%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

SavedMichigan best oddsRutgers best oddsModel (Rutgers)Market (Rutgers)
Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET-650+48016%17%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET-625+48016%17%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET-625+48016%17%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET-625+48016%17%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET-625+48016%17%
Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET-625+48016%17%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: Rutgers 1395 vs Michigan 1577 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: Rutgers -15.0, Michigan -2.8.
  • Model estimate: Rutgers 16% / Michigan 84%. Market (vig removed): Rutgers 17% / Michigan 83%.
  • Spread: Rutgers +14 · Total 47.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • Rutgers vs Michigan 2026 Football Game Details Released
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.