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College football · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Nevada at UCLA

Upcoming

Model value

Nevada
7%
Model estimate
8%Market implied
UCLAModel pick
93%
Model estimate
92%Market implied

The pick

Live odds-1667BetRivers

Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.

Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

ModelNow: 93%
MarketNow: 92%

Model pick: UCLA (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -1.5%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

SavedNevada best oddsUCLA best oddsModel (UCLA)Market (UCLA)
Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET+1300-190093%92%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET+1300-166793%92%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET+1300-166793%92%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET+1300-166793%92%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET+1300-166793%92%
Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET+1300-166793%92%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: UCLA 1616 vs Nevada 1447 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: UCLA +20.2, Nevada +3.8.
  • Model estimate: UCLA 93% / Nevada 7%. Market (vig removed): UCLA 92% / Nevada 8%.
  • Spread: UCLA -22.5 · Total 44.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • Reevaluating UCLA Football's Ceiling After Two Crucial Wins
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.