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College football · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Ohio State at USC

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Model value

Ohio StateLikelier to win
69%
Model estimate
69%Market implied
USCUnderdog pick
31%
Model estimate
31%Market implied

The pick

Live odds+220Bovada

Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.

Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

ModelNow: 31%
MarketNow: 31%

Model pick: USC (Underdog). At the current price the estimated value is -1.0%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

SavedOhio State best oddsUSC best oddsModel (USC)Market (USC)
Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET-245+22031%31%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET-245+22031%31%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET-245+22031%31%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET-245+22031%31%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET-245+22031%31%
Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET-245+22031%31%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: USC 1613 vs Ohio State 1770 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: USC -4.8, Ohio State +18.2.
  • Model estimate: USC 31% / Ohio State 69%. Market (vig removed): USC 31% / Ohio State 69%.
  • Spread: USC +7 · Total 50.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • Ohio State Is a 6.5-Point Favorite Over USC Ahead of Showdown in Los Angeles on Halloween
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.