Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Illinois (Underdog). At the current price the estimated value is +5.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Nebraska best odds | Illinois best odds | Model (Illinois) | Market (Illinois) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -205 | +220 | 33% | 33% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Maryland Terrapins vs Illinois Fighting Illini Highlights 🏈 FOX College Football · FOX Sports, Oct 31, 2026
Watch Illinois vs Maryland Live: Streaming, TV Channel & Start Time - Oct 31, 2026 | CFB Week 9 · FOX One, Nov 1, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Illinois 1544 vs Nebraska 1548 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Illinois +2.0, Nebraska +3.0.
- Model alone: Illinois 47% / Nebraska 53%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Illinois 33% / Nebraska 67%. Market (vig removed): Illinois 33% / Nebraska 67%.
- Spread: Illinois +6 · Total 48.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Nebraska Future Opponent Illinois Shows It Will Be Tough Test for Huskers
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.