Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Minnesota (Underdog). At the current price the estimated value is -2.4%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | UCLA best odds | Minnesota best odds | Model (Minnesota) | Market (Minnesota) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -205 | +180 | 35% | 35% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
UCLA Hosts No. 21 Minnesota, No. 8 Wisconsin for Two-Match Homestand · UCLA Bruins, Oct 28, 2026
4 Instant Observations from UCLA Football's Win Over Nevada · Yahoo Sports, Nov 1, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Minnesota 1517 vs UCLA 1630 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Minnesota -6.5, UCLA +14.2.
- Model alone: Minnesota 30% / UCLA 70%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Minnesota 35% / UCLA 65%. Market (vig removed): Minnesota 35% / UCLA 65%.
- Spread: Minnesota +6 · Total 42.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- UCLA Soars Into Top Five, Miami Sits as Unanimous No. 1 in College Football Rankings
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.