Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Ohio State (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is +0.3%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Oregon best odds | Ohio State best odds | Model (Ohio State) | Market (Ohio State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +320 | -350 | 78% | 76% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Who Does Ohio State Play Next? Shop Ohio State vs Oregon Football Tickets · Yahoo Sports, Oct 31, 2026
Oregon Ducks at No. 2 Ohio State Game Time, Network Set · OregonLive.com, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Ohio State 1732 vs Oregon 1649 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Ohio State +9.5, Oregon -0.5.
- Model alone: Ohio State 77% / Oregon 23%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Ohio State 78% / Oregon 22%. Market (vig removed): Ohio State 76% / Oregon 24%.
- Spread: Ohio State -10.5 · Total 45.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Can USC Top Ohio State at Home? Oregon Drops to 4 Losses? Klatt's Week 9 Picks
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.