Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Purdue (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.4%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Maryland best odds | Purdue best odds | Model (Purdue) | Market (Purdue) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +188 | -225 | 68% | 67% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Watch Maryland vs Purdue Live: Streaming, TV Channel & Start Time - Nov 7, 2026 | CFB Week 10 · FOX One, Oct 31, 2026
Purdue vs. Maryland Kick Time Announced · On3, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Purdue 1405 vs Maryland 1350 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Purdue +2.2, Maryland -16.0.
- Model alone: Purdue 73% / Maryland 27%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Purdue 68% / Maryland 32%. Market (vig removed): Purdue 67% / Maryland 33%.
- November 7, 2026: Purdue vs Maryland: Third Quarter College Football Prediction Market
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.