Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Wisconsin (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.4%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -320 (BetUS), model 75%, market 74%.
| Saved | Wisconsin best odds | Maryland best odds | Model (Maryland) | Market (Maryland) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -300 | +245 | 27% | 28% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -255 | +220 | 30% | 30% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -295 | +260 | 27% | 28% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -295 | +270 | 27% | 27% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -295 | +295 | 26% | 27% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -300 | +273 | 26% | 26% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -300 | +272 | 26% | 26% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -300 | +272 | 26% | 26% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -320 | +286 | 25% | 26% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -320 | +286 | 25% | 26% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Wisconsin Hits the Road to Battle Maryland · Wisconsin Badgers, Nov 11, 2026
How to Watch Wisconsin vs. Maryland: TV Channel and Streaming Options for November 14 · The New York Times, Nov 12, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Maryland 1377 vs Wisconsin 1550 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Maryland -8.5, Wisconsin -0.5.
- Model alone: Maryland 32% / Wisconsin 68%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Maryland 25% / Wisconsin 75%. Market (vig removed): Maryland 26% / Wisconsin 74%.
- Spread: Maryland +8.75 · Total 42.25 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Watch Wisconsin vs Maryland Live: Streaming, TV Channel & Start Time - Nov 14, 2026 | CFB Week 11
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.