Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Michigan State (Underdog). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at +146 (MyBookie.ag), model 40%, market 40%.
| Saved | Washington best odds | Michigan State best odds | Model (Michigan State) | Market (Michigan State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -182 | +152 | 38% | 38% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -150 | +130 | 42% | 42% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -155 | +160 | 40% | 40% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -180 | +172 | 36% | 36% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -150 | +148 | 40% | 40% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -162 | +148 | 40% | 40% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -162 | +148 | 40% | 40% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -165 | +148 | 40% | 40% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -160 | +146 | 40% | 40% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -160 | +146 | 40% | 40% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Watch Washington vs Michigan State Live: Streaming, TV Channel & Start Time - Nov 14, 2026 | CFB Week 11 · FOX One, Nov 13, 2026
Dawgs Return to Road to Face Michigan State in East Lansing - University of Washington Athletics · University of Washington Athletics, Nov 9, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Michigan State 1442 vs Washington 1574 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Michigan State -3.2, Washington -0.2.
- Model alone: Michigan State 40% / Washington 60%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Michigan State 40% / Washington 60%. Market (vig removed): Michigan State 40% / Washington 60%.
- Spread: Michigan State +3.25 · Total 44.25 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- How to Watch Washington vs. Michigan State: TV Channel and Streaming Options for November 14
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.