Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: UCLA (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.2%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET: pick locked at -375 (BetMGM), model 78%, market 76%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 2): market-implied 76.5% for the pick.
| Saved | Illinois best odds | UCLA best odds | Model (UCLA) | Market (UCLA) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +320 | -360 | 78% | 76% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +300 | -350 | 77% | 76% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +300 | -350 | 77% | 76% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +310 | -375 | 78% | 76% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +330 | -375 | 78% | 77% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +310 | -375 | 78% | 76% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +310 | -375 | 78% | 76% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +310 | -375 | 78% | 76% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | +310 | -375 | 78% | 76% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +320 | -375 | 78% | 77% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
No. 4 UCLA Hosts Illinois at Rose Bowl Friday Night - UCLA Bruins · UCLA Bruins, Nov 10, 2026
Preview & Picks: Illinois at No. 4 UCLA · 247Sports, Nov 11, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: UCLA 1655 vs Illinois 1567 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: UCLA +17.2, Illinois +6.5.
- Model alone: UCLA 81% / Illinois 19%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): UCLA 78% / Illinois 22%. Market (vig removed): UCLA 77% / Illinois 23%.
- Spread: UCLA -10 · Total 47.75 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Illinois Football vs. UCLA: How to Watch, Odds, Injuries, Weather, Announcers, & More
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.