Model value
Boise StateModel pick
82%
Model estimate
81%Market implied
Washington State
18%
Model estimate
19%Market implied
The pick
Pick locked at-500BetRiversThis price grades the pick
Live oddsClosedGame has started
Odds as of Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET, when the pick was locked. Live odds close at kickoff.
ModelAt lock: 82%
MarketAt lock: 81%
Model pick: Boise State (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.5%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Result
Win
Boise State 31 - Washington State 10
Units
+0.20u
1 flat unit at the locked price
Closing-line value
+0.0%
locked price vs the last pre-kickoff line
1 unit = your standard bet. Example: +0.20u is +$2.00 at $10 per bet.
Odds history
- Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET: pick locked at -500 (BetRivers), model 82%, market 81%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 5): market-implied 83.3% for the pick.
No odds snapshots were saved for this game (it was logged before history tracking started). Snapshots are saved each time the model runs, so later games build a full history.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.