Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: San Diego State (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.4%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Washington State best odds | San Diego State best odds | Model (San Diego State) | Market (San Diego State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +130 | -154 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +130 | -154 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +128 | -148 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +128 | -148 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +128 | -148 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +128 | -148 | 59% | 58% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Where to Watch CSU vs San Diego State: Time, TV Channel for Week 8 · Yahoo Sports, Oct 24, 2026
Pac-12 Power Rankings Heading Into Week 8 · CougCenter, Oct 23, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: San Diego State 1411 vs Washington State 1384 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: San Diego State -13.5, Washington State -15.0.
- Model estimate: San Diego State 59% / Washington State 41%. Market (vig removed): San Diego State 58% / Washington State 42%.
- Spread: San Diego State -3 · Total 48.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Colorado State 56-49 San Diego State (Oct 24, 2026) Game Recap
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.