Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Utah State (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.7%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Colorado State best odds | Utah State best odds | Model (Utah State) | Market (Utah State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +195 | -218 | 68% | 67% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +195 | -218 | 68% | 67% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +195 | -218 | 68% | 67% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +195 | -218 | 68% | 67% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +195 | -218 | 68% | 67% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +190 | -230 | 68% | 67% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Utah State vs Texas State Prediction, Pick, College Football Odds for Saturday, Oct. 24 · Yahoo Sports, Oct 24, 2026
Texas State 20-17 Utah State (Oct 24, 2026) Game Recap · ESPN, Oct 25, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Utah State 1452 vs Colorado State 1350 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Utah State -2.5, Colorado State -19.0.
- Model estimate: Utah State 68% / Colorado State 32%. Market (vig removed): Utah State 67% / Colorado State 33%.
- Spread: Utah State -6 · Total 64.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Aggie Football Drops 20-17 Heartbreaker at Texas State
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.