Model value
Massachusetts
14%
Model estimate
15%Market implied
UConnModel pick
86%
Model estimate
85%Market implied
The pick
Pick locked at-675DraftKingsThis price grades the pick
Live oddsClosedGame has started
Odds as of Oct 22, 2026, 11:00 AM ET, when the pick was locked. Live odds close at kickoff.
ModelAt lock: 86%
MarketAt lock: 85%
Model pick: UConn (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -0.8%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 22, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Result
Win
Massachusetts 16 - UConn 35
Units
+0.15u
1 flat unit at the locked price
Closing-line value
-2.7%
locked price vs the last pre-kickoff line
1 unit = your standard bet. Example: +0.15u is +$1.48 at $10 per bet.
Odds history
- Oct 22, 2026, 11:00 AM ET: pick locked at -675 (DraftKings), model 86%, market 85%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 4): market-implied 84.7% for the pick.
No odds snapshots were saved for this game (it was logged before history tracking started). Snapshots are saved each time the model runs, so later games build a full history.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.