Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Air Force (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.6%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | UConn best odds | Air Force best odds | Model (Air Force) | Market (Air Force) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +130 | -150 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +130 | -150 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +130 | -150 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +130 | -150 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +130 | -150 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +130 | -150 | 59% | 58% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
October 31, 2026: Air Force vs UConn: Second Half College Football Prediction Market · Robinhood, Oct 25, 2026
UMass vs UConn Prediction: Will the Huskies Keep the Minutemen Slide Going? · Yahoo Sports, Oct 22, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Air Force 1493 vs UConn 1519 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Air Force +5.5, UConn +7.2.
- Model estimate: Air Force 59% / UConn 41%. Market (vig removed): Air Force 58% / UConn 42%.
- Spread: Air Force -3 · Total 53.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- UConn 35-16 Massachusetts (Oct 23, 2026) Game Recap
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.