Model value
East Carolina
22%
Model estimate
24%Market implied
MemphisModel pick
78%
Model estimate
76%Market implied
The pick
Pick locked at-365FanDuelThis price grades the pick
Live oddsClosedGame has started
Odds as of Oct 21, 2026, 10:30 AM ET, when the pick was locked. Live odds close at kickoff.
ModelAt lock: 78%
MarketAt lock: 76%
Model pick: Memphis (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -0.6%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 21, 2026, 10:30 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Result
Win
East Carolina 34 - Memphis 41
Units
+0.27u
1 flat unit at the locked price
Closing-line value
-1.2%
locked price vs the last pre-kickoff line
1 unit = your standard bet. Example: +0.27u is +$2.74 at $10 per bet.
Odds history
- Oct 21, 2026, 10:30 AM ET: pick locked at -365 (FanDuel), model 78%, market 76%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 3): market-implied 77.6% for the pick.
No odds snapshots were saved for this game (it was logged before history tracking started). Snapshots are saved each time the model runs, so later games build a full history.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.