Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: North Texas (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -1.2%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Florida Atlantic best odds | North Texas best odds | Model (North Texas) | Market (North Texas) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +380 | -461 | 81% | 79% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +380 | -461 | 81% | 79% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +380 | -461 | 81% | 79% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +380 | -461 | 81% | 79% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +380 | -461 | 81% | 79% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +380 | -461 | 81% | 79% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Messer’s Five Touchdowns Lead Owls to Nail-Biting Homecoming Win · Florida Atlantic University Athletics, Oct 24, 2026
October 29, 2026: North Texas vs Florida Atlantic: Second Half College Football Prediction Market · Robinhood, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: North Texas 1594 vs Florida Atlantic 1451 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: North Texas +9.2, Florida Atlantic +1.0.
- Model estimate: North Texas 81% / Florida Atlantic 19%. Market (vig removed): North Texas 79% / Florida Atlantic 21%.
- Spread: North Texas -13.5 · Total 72.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Rice Falls Short at Florida Atlantic Despite Ochoa’s Big Day
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.