Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Memphis (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -0.6%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Army best odds | Memphis best odds | Model (Memphis) | Market (Memphis) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +216 | -250 | 71% | 69% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +216 | -250 | 71% | 69% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +216 | -250 | 71% | 69% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +216 | -250 | 71% | 69% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +216 | -250 | 71% | 69% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +216 | -250 | 71% | 69% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Memphis Football Announces Game Time, TV Info for Oct. 31 Home Matchup vs Army · The Commercial Appeal, Oct 19, 2026
Memphis to Host East Carolina Thursday Night · University of Memphis Athletics, Oct 21, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Memphis 1558 vs Army 1579 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Memphis +17.2, Army +9.0.
- Model estimate: Memphis 71% / Army 29%. Market (vig removed): Memphis 69% / Army 31%.
- Spread: Memphis -6.5 · Total 58.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- October 31, 2026: Memphis vs Army: Second Half College Football Prediction Market
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.