Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: East Carolina (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.2%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Temple best odds | East Carolina best odds | Model (East Carolina) | Market (East Carolina) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +190 | -205 | 68% | 66% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +190 | -205 | 68% | 66% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +190 | -225 | 68% | 67% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +190 | -225 | 68% | 67% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +190 | -225 | 68% | 67% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +190 | -225 | 68% | 67% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Game Time Announced for Temple Football at East Carolina · Temple University Athletics, Oct 19, 2026
ECU Falls at Memphis in Overtime, 41-34 · East Carolina University Athletics, Oct 23, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: East Carolina 1481 vs Temple 1350 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: East Carolina -0.2, Temple -5.2.
- Model estimate: East Carolina 68% / Temple 32%. Market (vig removed): East Carolina 67% / Temple 33%.
- Spread: East Carolina -5.5 · Total 50.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- October 31, 2026: East Carolina vs Temple: Third Quarter College Football Prediction Market
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.