Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: South Florida (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -0.5%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | UAB best odds | South Florida best odds | Model (South Florida) | Market (South Florida) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +265 | -300 | 75% | 73% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +265 | -300 | 75% | 73% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +265 | -300 | 75% | 73% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +265 | -300 | 75% | 73% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +265 | -300 | 75% | 73% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +265 | -300 | 75% | 73% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
UAB-South Florida Football Game Selected for ESPNU · UAB Athletics, Oct 19, 2026
Bulls, Blazers to Kick Off at Noon on Halloween · USF Athletics, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: South Florida 1559 vs UAB 1434 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: South Florida +6.0, UAB -3.8.
- Model estimate: South Florida 75% / UAB 25%. Market (vig removed): South Florida 73% / UAB 27%.
- Spread: South Florida -7.5 · Total 41.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- South Florida 48-13 Florida Atlantic (Oct 18, 2025) Game Recap
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.