Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: UTSA (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -2.8%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | UTSA best odds | Florida Atlantic best odds | Model (Florida Atlantic) | Market (Florida Atlantic) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -245 | +210 | 31% | 31% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Florida Atlantic Hosts UTSA on ESPN · Florida Atlantic University Athletics, Oct 26, 2026
North Texas 48-41 Florida Atlantic (Oct 29, 2026) Game Recap · ESPN, Oct 30, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Florida Atlantic 1441 vs UTSA 1629 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: UTSA has 5 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: Florida Atlantic -2.2, UTSA +9.0.
- Model alone: Florida Atlantic 31% / UTSA 69%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Florida Atlantic 31% / UTSA 69%. Market (vig removed): Florida Atlantic 31% / UTSA 69%.
- Spread: Florida Atlantic +6.5 · Total 71.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- November 5, 2026: Florida Atlantic vs UTSA: Second Half College Football Prediction Market
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.