Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: East Carolina (Toss-up). At the current price the estimated value is -3.0%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | South Florida best odds | East Carolina best odds | Model (East Carolina) | Market (East Carolina) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -112 | -108 | 50% | 50% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
November 6, 2026: East Carolina vs South Florida: Third Quarter College Football Prediction Market · Robinhood, Oct 27, 2026
East Carolina 17-9 Temple (Oct 31, 2026) Game Recap · ESPN, Oct 31, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: East Carolina 1492 vs South Florida 1575 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: East Carolina +1.0, South Florida +9.0.
- Model alone: East Carolina 40% / South Florida 60%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): East Carolina 50% / South Florida 50%. Market (vig removed): East Carolina 50% / South Florida 50%.
- Spread: East Carolina +1.5 · Total 45.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- College Football TV Schedule and Times
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.