Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Army (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.8%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Air Force best odds | Army best odds | Model (Army) | Market (Army) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +170 | -205 | 66% | 64% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
How to Watch as Air Force Football Hosts UConn on Halloween · Colorado Springs Gazette, Oct 30, 2026
Army Downs Tulsa While Air Force and Navy Fall in Conference Play · We Are The Mighty, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Army 1547 vs Air Force 1515 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Army +2.8, Air Force +6.5.
- Model alone: Army 61% / Air Force 39%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Army 66% / Air Force 34%. Market (vig removed): Army 64% / Air Force 36%.
- Spread: Army -5.5 · Total 50.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Air Force Unit Stops All Rope Training After TACP’s Rappelling Death
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.