Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: East Carolina (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -2.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -450 (BetOnline.ag), model 80%, market 79%.
| Saved | East Carolina best odds | Charlotte best odds | Model (Charlotte) | Market (Charlotte) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | None posted | None posted | 19% | No line |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -470 | +360 | 20% | 21% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -450 | +360 | 20% | 21% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -465 | +375 | 20% | 21% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -465 | +410 | 19% | 20% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -465 | +378 | 20% | 21% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -450 | +381 | 20% | 21% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -450 | +381 | 20% | 21% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -450 | +362 | 20% | 21% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -450 | +372 | 20% | 21% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
East Carolina at Charlotte Football: Time, TV, Odds & Game Info (2026) · NC Football News, Nov 12, 2026
ECU GAMEDAY: Pirates Looking to Fend Off In-state Spoiler Charlotte · reflector.com, Nov 11, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Charlotte 1274 vs East Carolina 1509 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Charlotte -12.8, East Carolina -2.2.
- Model alone: Charlotte 22% / East Carolina 78%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Charlotte 20% / East Carolina 80%. Market (vig removed): Charlotte 21% / East Carolina 79%.
- Spread: Charlotte +12.25 · Total 45.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- East Carolina vs Charlotte Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Week 11 2026
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.