Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Tulsa (Lean). At the locked price the estimated value is -0.8%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -210 (BetOnline.ag), model 67%, market 66%.
| Saved | Florida Atlantic best odds | Tulsa best odds | Model (Tulsa) | Market (Tulsa) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | None posted | None posted | 57% | No line |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +170 | -178 | 64% | 63% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +185 | -200 | 67% | 65% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +180 | -200 | 66% | 65% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +183 | -200 | 67% | 65% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +183 | -205 | 67% | 65% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +183 | -205 | 67% | 65% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +183 | -205 | 67% | 65% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | +190 | -210 | 67% | 66% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +190 | -210 | 67% | 66% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
2026 Week 11 Preview: Florida Atlantic Owls @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane · Yahoo Sports, Nov 12, 2026
Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Week 11 2026 · FanDuel, Nov 12, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Tulsa 1472 vs Florida Atlantic 1496 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: Florida Atlantic has 2 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: Tulsa +15.0, Florida Atlantic -1.5.
- Model alone: Tulsa 57% / Florida Atlantic 43%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Tulsa 67% / Florida Atlantic 33%. Market (vig removed): Tulsa 66% / Florida Atlantic 34%.
- Spread: Tulsa -5.75 · Total 74.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- FAU Football Prepares for Tulsa Matchup After Bowl Eligibility Win; Messer an Award Finalist
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.